Higher gasoline prices pushed Canadian inflation to a more than two-year high, while underlying inflation pressures showed little sign of accelerating, with core measures broadly unchanged and price gains less broad-based. Canada’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.2% in May, Statistics Canada reported Monday, marking its highest level since December 2023. The increase exceeded economists’ […]

Canada’s housing market gained meaningful momentum in May, with sales posting their strongest monthly increase of the year and leading indicators pointing to further improvement in June. After months of uncertainty, the market appears to be transitioning from stabilization to recovery as lower borrowing costs, easing energy prices, and improved affordability begin to draw buyers […]

Today, the Bank of Canada once again held the policy rate at 2.25%. This is the bottom of the Bank’s estimate of the neutral overnight rate, where monetary policy is neither expansionary nor contractionary. With inflation hovering at 2.8% and core inflation falling to 2.0% (as of April data), the Governing Council sees the current […]

Canadian employment surged 87,800 in May, the strongest reading since 2024. Today’s Labour Market Survey dispels recession concerns, but leaves the Bank of Canada open to a possible rate hike later this year or next if inflation remains troubling. The Canadian economy continues to show resilience in the face of tariffs and oil price increases. […]

Statistics Canada reported this morning that the Canadian economy contracted slightly, by 0.1%, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in the first quarter (Q1) of 2026. That follows a 1% contraction in the fourth quarter, a downward revision from the previously reported 0.6% decrease. Higher imports of goods, particularly gold, were offset by accumulations of business […]

Statistics Canada released the April CPI data this morning, showing a smaller-than-expected rise in headline inflation. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.8% y/y in April, up from 2.4% in March. Higher energy prices, particularly gasoline, drove the acceleration. In April, energy prices rose 19.2%, following a 3.9% gain in March. Gasoline prices continued to […]

The number of home sales recorded on Canadian MLS® Systems was up 0.7% month over month in April 2026. According to Shaun Cathcart, Senior Economist with the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), “While home sales were up only modestly from March to April, the small increase reflected a slow start to the month with a […]

Today, the Bank of Canada once again held the policy rate steady at 2.25%. This is the bottom of the Bank’s estimate of the neutral overnight rate, where monetary policy is neither expansionary nor contractionary. With inflation hovering at 2.4% and core inflation falling to 2.0%, the Governing Council sees the current overnight rate as […]

The headline inflation rate in Canada surged as expected with the War in Iran and the resulting oil price shock. The inflation rate hit 2.4%, up from 1.8% in February, tying for the highest in a year but a bit below market expectations of 2.5%. The surge reflected the initial impact of the war in the […]

The number of home sales recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems was virtually unchanged (-0.1%) on a month-over-month basis in March 2026. “Home sales activity remained at lower levels in March, as rising global economic uncertainty, along with a mid-month jump in fixed mortgage rates tied to incoming higher inflation, piled on to an already shaky […]